Large-Scale Houthi Attack Appears to Fall Short of Preparations Tracked by Sheba Intelligence
Extensive missile, drone, and maritime preparations contrasted with limited independently confirmed damage in the Red Sea.
Sheba Intelligence | July 23, 2026
The Houthi movement appears to have launched a coordinated operation intended to mark the operational enforcement of its recently declared maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia. However, the outcome currently visible differs significantly from the scale of preparations monitored beforehand by Sheba Intelligence and from the breadth of the operation described in the group’s own statement.
The first indication of the attack came from the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), which reported that a tanker approximately 70 nautical miles southwest of Al Shuqaiq on Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea coast had been struck by an unidentified projectile, causing a fire that the crew managed to fight. UKMTO reported no casualties, no environmental damage, and described the incident as limited in scope while authorities continued their investigation.
Shortly afterward, Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree claimed responsibility for attacks against two Saudi-linked oil tankers, ENCELIA and LAYLA, stating that ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and unmanned aerial vehicles had been employed during the operation.
According to information obtained by Sheba Intelligence, however, the preparations extended beyond the capabilities acknowledged in the public statement. Intelligence gathered before the attack indicated that Houthi forces had begun preparing a coordinated operation across multiple operational domains.
Missile launch platforms at Jabal Al-Sadba in Al-Jawf Governorate were reoriented toward the northern operational axis, while newly deployed unmanned aerial systems were positioned in the Al-Saqiyah area west of Al-Jawf under the control of a dedicated drone command-and-control center established north of Al-Saqiyah military camp. The simultaneous deployment of missile forces and drone units suggested preparations for a large-scale coordinated strike rather than an isolated attack.
These developments complemented information previously obtained by Sheba Intelligence showing that the Houthis had already entered the maritime phase of their escalation plan. The movement had transferred unmanned explosive surface vessels together with small unmanned underwater explosive craft designed to operate as mobile naval mines to the Al-Luhayyah coastal reserve. Naval units, the Fifth Military Region, Coast Guard elements, and western coastal military sectors had reportedly been tasked with preparing launch sites and coordinating attacks against commercial shipping in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab.
The attack also followed several days of disruption to commercial shipping. Multiple tankers carrying Saudi crude altered their routes or delayed voyages after Houthi threats, while some vessels reduced AIS transmissions as maritime security concerns intensified. These developments demonstrated that the blockade announcement had already begun affecting commercial navigation before any confirmed attack occurred.
Despite these extensive preparations, the independently verified outcome remains limited. UKMTO has confirmed damage to one tanker only, with no reported casualties or environmental consequences, while the Houthis have publicly claimed attacks on two vessels. At the time of publication, there has been no independent confirmation that both tankers sustained damage or that the full range of weapon systems claimed by the Houthis—including ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, drones, and the maritime capabilities previously tracked by Sheba Intelligence—were successfully employed.
The gap between the scale of the operational preparations and the results confirmed so far suggests that the broader coordinated attack may not have achieved all of its intended objectives. Whether this reflects interception, operational failures, limited weapon effectiveness, or incomplete public reporting remains unclear and requires further independent verification.
If subsequent evidence confirms that only limited damage was inflicted despite extensive preparations involving missile forces, drones, and maritime strike assets, the operation would represent an outcome considerably smaller than the multi-domain offensive anticipated from the indicators monitored by Sheba Intelligence.